|Date||MJD||σ||σimp||dist ± width||stretch||p_RE||exp. en||PS||TS|
Based on 4105 optical observations (of which 87 are rejected as outliers) from 2004-03-15.109 to 2013-05-07.150.
Coordinates are given on the Target Plane
Unit is one Earth radius, but impact cross section has radius between 2.15 and 2.15 Earth radii
Coordinates for LOV = KEP scaled= T second= F
OrbFit software version= 4.3, 08/05/2012 Date of computation=20130801 220340.613 CET
Note that this risk table has been computed by using information coming only from optical and radar astrometry, without considering any a priori constraint, in particular on the Yarkovsky effect, based upon models and physical observations, and by using the Line Of Variation method. Nevertheless, the results are qualitatively compatible with the ones obtained at JPL, which has been obtained by using a priori information and a MonteCarlo method, as described in the paper Yarkovsky-driven impact risk analysis for asteroid (99942) Apophis by Farnocchia, Chesley, Chodas, Micheli, Tholen, Milani, Elliott and Bernardi, Icarus 224, 192-200, 2013.
This Web Site has been visited 241603 times since
this Page has been visited 70451 times since 2011/04/20,
and this Impact Table has been visited 21 times since 2011/04/20